Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.050039e-03 1.195794e-03 0.001343 0.001502 0.001669 0.001838 0.002022
2025-07-13 8.142440e-04 1.021017e-03 0.001238 0.001479 0.001739 0.002009 0.002308
2025-07-20 6.070987e-04 8.512845e-04 0.001118 0.001424 0.001762 0.002119 0.002522
2025-07-27 4.992366e-04 7.776250e-04 0.001093 0.001464 0.001881 0.002328 0.002838
2025-08-03 3.813681e-04 6.776814e-04 0.001027 0.001451 0.001936 0.002464 0.003072
2025-08-10 2.522835e-04 5.454308e-04 0.000912 0.001372 0.001910 0.002503 0.003195
2025-08-17 1.700173e-04 4.592263e-04 0.000844 0.001340 0.001932 0.002593 0.003371
2025-08-24 8.910674e-05 3.542558e-04 0.000740 0.001258 0.001890 0.002606 0.003457
2025-08-31 4.841785e-05 2.983929e-04 0.000694 0.001243 0.001923 0.002702 0.003633
2025-09-07 2.566235e-05 2.649109e-04 0.000676 0.001259 0.001991 0.002836 0.003852
2025-09-14 4.720516e-06 2.112548e-04 0.000621 0.001225 0.001996 0.002894 0.003981
2025-09-21 7.509143e-08 1.903456e-04 0.000613 0.001250 0.002072 0.003035 0.004204
2025-09-28 NaN 1.857352e-04 0.000643 0.001344 0.002256 0.003328 0.004633
2025-10-05 NaN 1.339186e-04 0.000588 0.001321 0.002295 0.003453 0.004872
2025-10-12 NaN 8.066407e-05 0.000515 0.001268 0.002294 0.003530 0.005056
2025-10-19 NaN 6.261116e-05 0.000506 0.001306 0.002408 0.003744 0.005401
2025-10-26 NaN 3.604815e-05 0.000465 0.001293 0.002456 0.003879 0.005652
2025-11-02 NaN 8.011886e-06 0.000389 0.001218 0.002418 0.003906 0.005774
2025-11-09 NaN 1.844671e-08 0.000344 0.001187 0.002437 0.004000 0.005975
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000276 0.001110 0.002387 0.004008 0.006071
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000247 0.001095 0.002423 0.004120 0.006289
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000235 0.001110 0.002498 0.004281 0.006565
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000200 0.001078 0.002504 0.004354 0.006735